Cars / Toyota Sienna
Toyota Sienna depreciation in USA
A Toyota Sienna loses about 9.1% of its value per year in USA. Buy one new for $38,500 and after 3 years it's worth roughly $28,904 (75% retained); after 5 years, about $23,876 (62%). Driving more than ~12,000 miles/year pushes resale lower.
By USA standards the Toyota Sienna holds its value exceptionally well, which is exactly what tips a buy-vs-rent decision one way or the other over a few years of ownership.
So should you buy it or rent it? At default assumptions the break-even long-term rental rate is about $707/month: rent below that and renting wins; above it, buying wins. Your price, financing, and mileage move this number, so run yours:
Buying wins · over 3 years
$0
cheaper than renting, all costs in.
Break-even rent: $707/month. Below that, rent; above it, buy.
If you buy: $25,448 total
| Down payment / cash price | $38,500 |
| Sales tax | $2,695 |
| Insurance | $4,807 |
| Registration | $750 |
| Maintenance | $1,535 |
| Opportunity cost of capital | $4,620 |
| Resale value (credit) | −$27,459 |
Expected resale, net of selling costs: $27,459 (range $24,280 to $31,416)
If you rent: $38,520 total
| Rental payments | $38,520 |
Fuel and tolls are excluded on both sides; you pay them either way.
Toyota Sienna depreciation in USA, by the numbers
| Estimated new price | $38,500 |
|---|---|
| Annual depreciation rate | 9.1% per year |
| Estimated value after 1 year | $34,991 (91% retained) |
| Estimated value after 2 years | $31,803 (83% retained) |
| Estimated value after 3 years | $28,904 (75% retained) |
| Estimated value after 5 years | $23,876 (62% retained) |
| Typical resale range at 3 years | $25,558 to $33,070 |
| Break-even rent (default assumptions) | $707/month |
| Data behind this curve | calibrated estimate · 89 data points · R² 0.80 |
Figures assume a new purchase at typical mileage. The calculator above lets you set your actual price, age, odometer, financing, and holding period.
Frequently asked
How much does a Toyota Sienna depreciate per year in USA?
Roughly 9.1% per year, based on our calibrated market model. Higher-than-average mileage accelerates the loss.
What will a Toyota Sienna be worth after 3 years?
Around 75% of what you paid, about $28,904 on a $38,500 car at typical mileage (with a realistic range either side; we show a 10-90% band, not a single false-precision number).
Should I buy or rent a Toyota Sienna in USA?
It hinges on the monthly rental rate you can get. At default assumptions (3 years, cash, 12,000 miles/year, 7% sales tax), the break-even is about $707/month: if you can rent below that, renting wins; above it, buying wins. Use the calculator to plug in your actual numbers.
Curve fit: calibrated estimate · n = 89 · R² = 0.80 · updated 2026-07-12 · methodology