Cars / BMW 3 Series

BMW 3 Series depreciation in USA

A BMW 3 Series loses about 18.0% of its value per year in USA. Buy one new for $46,000 and after 3 years it's worth roughly $25,387 (55% retained); after 5 years, about $17,081 (37%). Driving more than ~12,000 miles/year pushes resale lower.

By USA standards the BMW 3 Series loses value a little faster than the market average, which is exactly what tips a buy-vs-rent decision one way or the other over a few years of ownership.

So should you buy it or rent it? At default assumptions the break-even long-term rental rate is about $1,069/month: rent below that and renting wins; above it, buying wins. Your price, financing, and mileage move this number, so run yours:

Estimated curve: calibrated model, not yet fitted from live listings

Buying wins · over 3 years

$0

cheaper than renting, all costs in.

Break-even rent: $1,069/month. Below that, rent; above it, buy.

Your deal
If you buy
If you rent
Cumulative net cost if you exit at month m; lower is better. Shaded band = resale-value uncertainty (10-90%).
020k40k1y2y3ybuying wins from month 20BuyingRenting

If you buy: $38,488 total

Down payment / cash price$46,000
Sales tax$3,220
Insurance$5,268
Registration$750
Maintenance$1,848
Opportunity cost of capital$5,520
Resale value (credit)−$24,117

Expected resale, net of selling costs: $24,117 (range $21,443 to $27,032)

If you rent: $46,440 total

Rental payments$46,440

Fuel and tolls are excluded on both sides; you pay them either way.

BMW 3 Series depreciation in USA, by the numbers

Estimated new price$46,000
Annual depreciation rate18.0% per year
Estimated value after 1 year $37,732 (82% retained)
Estimated value after 2 years $30,950 (67% retained)
Estimated value after 3 years $25,387 (55% retained)
Estimated value after 5 years $17,081 (37% retained)
Typical resale range at 3 years $22,572 to $28,455
Break-even rent (default assumptions) $1,069/month
Data behind this curve calibrated estimate · 94 data points · R² 0.96

Figures assume a new purchase at typical mileage. The calculator above lets you set your actual price, age, odometer, financing, and holding period.

Frequently asked

How much does a BMW 3 Series depreciate per year in USA?

Roughly 18.0% per year, based on our calibrated market model. Higher-than-average mileage accelerates the loss.

What will a BMW 3 Series be worth after 3 years?

Around 55% of what you paid, about $25,387 on a $46,000 car at typical mileage (with a realistic range either side; we show a 10-90% band, not a single false-precision number).

Should I buy or rent a BMW 3 Series in USA?

It hinges on the monthly rental rate you can get. At default assumptions (3 years, cash, 12,000 miles/year, 7% sales tax), the break-even is about $1,069/month: if you can rent below that, renting wins; above it, buying wins. Use the calculator to plug in your actual numbers.

Curve fit: calibrated estimate · n = 94 · R² = 0.96 · updated 2026-07-12 · methodology